I agree with pbrown, it's a guess at best. But there are things you can do to get the odds in your favor. Scout, scout, scout, and then scout some more. Wintertime is a great time to find those bedding areas and how they relate to the activity areas where you're hunting. What is your ratio of days scouting to days hunting? And yes the bucks will move and use different bedding areas throughout the fall depending on what's going on.
We cannot continue to do the same things over and over and expect different results